Thursday, October 2, 2014

Just Lose, Baby

  Alright so I'll say what everyone already knows, the Oakland Raiders are a horrible team, except they really aren't. The football team is not the issue, the level of talent on the roster is ridiculous for how bad they play. They have a promising young Quarterback in Derek Carr, a strong Running Back tandem with Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden, not to mention Marcel Reece. They even have a couple of good receivers with James Jones and Denarius Moore. And after this off season they have a defense full of talent. Despite all of this they have the 24th ranked scoring defense, and the 29th ranked scoring offense. The majority of the blame for these poor performances should not go on the players.

  The blame should fall squarely on General Manager Reggie McKenzie and former Head Coach Dennis Allen. Last year they traded then starting Quarterback Carson Palmer to Arizona, and then brought in Matt Flynn to be the starter. Flynn then lost out to Terrele Pryor in the pre season. This looked like a great move as Pryor played well early on, but eventually he got injured. They then went with backup Matt McGloin, who also played well and was then given the starting job. Going into this year they had a very interesting Quarterback competition going on between Pryor and McGloin, and then the Raiders traded Pryor to Seattle. And then decided to not go with McGloin either, instead opting to go first with Matt Schaub, and then with Derek Carr. Over the last season and a half the Raiders have blown up and restarted the Quarterback position Six Times (From Palmer to Flynn, Flynn to Pryor, Pryor to McGloin, McGloin to Schaub, and from Schaub to Carr.)

  This Helter Skelter handling of the Quarterback position is both the fault of the coach and GM. I will give Dennis Allen credit for being able to roll with the punches and adapt to very different Quarterbacks. However he should have put his foot down at some point and said, this is my Quarterback. Hell, they've had at least 2 or 3 good Quarterbacks over the last season and a half. It is both Mark Davis and Reggie McKenzie's fault for expecting their coach to be able to win immediately with a cast off backup and a rookie as their options at Quarterback. This reminded me of what happened in Jacksonville during Blaine Gabbert's rookie year. The GM essentially threw Jack Del Rio under the bus by getting rid of the established starting Quarterback David Garrard and making Del Rio ride or die with an unproven rookie and a career backup.

  To me, if they were going to fire Dennis Allen and reboot the Quarterback position again, they should have done it during the offseason, not in week 5 of the Regular Season. Now they are stuck with Tony Sparano until the end of the season, which means two things. Derek Carr and the passing game will struggle and we will see Darren McFadden in the Wildcat formation at least once this year.
 

Sunday, August 24, 2014

St. Louis Rams QB situation

After the breaking news that Sam Bradford has torn the ACL in his left knee for a second consecutive year the Rams have to be wondering who their QB will be this year. On the current roster they have Shaun Hill and Austin Davis, a smart career backup and a young gunslinger. Of course there will be the people calling for Tim Tebow or Jamarcus Russell or <insert Quarterback who wasn't given a "fair chance" here>., but to me there are only three realistic options at QB. The three options that make the most sense for the Rams are; Shaun Hill, Austin Davis, or trading for Mark Sanchez.

 If the Rams choose to roll with Shaun Hill I think they will probably be mediocre at best, much as Shaun Hill is. He has never been a great QB, but he is a savvy veteran and knows what to do and how to run an offense. To me, Shaun Hill is a spare tire, he'll get you through a rough patch, but you're not going to go very far with him. He has all of the knowledge and experience in the world, but not the ability needed to be a good QB. Ultimately Shaun Hill is the most likely option, at least to start the season, but is not necessarily the best option.

 On the flip side they could allow the job to go to Austin Davis, the young gunslinger out of Southern Mississippi. Much like his fellow Golden Eagle alum Brett Favre, Austin Davis is always exciting. Every time I've watched this kid play I'm impressed. He has all of the tools needed to run the West Coast offense, and ever since college has known how to take what the defense gives and progress through his reads. There were questions of arm strength when he came into the league, but I've never seen any issue with zip or power on the ball from him. He is deceptively athletic, able to move in the pocket and run when needed. I doubt he will be named the starter, at least not to begin the season, but he would certainly be a boom or bust type of pick and would be fun to watch.

 And last but not least, they could trade for a QB from another team. In my mind, and in the mind of others as well, the most likely candidate for a trade would be Mark "Butt Fumble" Sanchez. Despite all of the criticism that Sanchez has been subject to over the last few years, he has looked great with the Eagles this pre-season (25/31 [80.6% Completion Percentage] for 281 yards with 2 TD, and only 1 INT, a 112.5 QB rating). The connection with Rams OC Brian Schottenheimer (Sanchez's former OC in New York) is there as well, with Jeff Fisher even admitting they had interest in signing Sanchez in the off season. I'm not sure if this could actually happen, but I think it would probably be the best option for the Rams going forward. Before all of the Tim Tebow drama in New York, Sanchez went to two straight AFC Championship games, and was steadily improving as a QB. I hope the Rams go this direction, as I would personally love to see Mark Sanchez become a successful NFL QB again.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Pre Season Standouts

 After the first two weeks of the Pre Season there are a few players who have stood out to me. Although I haven't watched as many pre-season games as I would like, in the games I did see these 8 players really showed off their potential; especially considering a lot of these are young or unproven players.

1. Mark Ingram
 Starting off with a player who I had mostly written off after his first two years in the league, Mark Ingram started showing what he could do last season. Even with some strong showings last season, I was still looking to Khiry Robinson to be the Saints next feature back. 2 Games into the preseason and Mark Ingram has 13 carries for 102 yards, with a rushing TD as well as 2 catches for 28 yards and a TD. That leaves him averaging almost 10 yards a carry, with Ingram running hard and breaking tackles everytime he touches the ball. He has also developed his pass blocking and receiving abilities, making him a viable three down back for the first time since being drafted.

2. Zach Mettenberger
 Mettenberger looked very sharp in the game against the Saints, making consistently good throws, albeit with one mistake on an interception by Saints Safety Vinny Sunseri. He went 20 of 25 for 269 yards and 2 TDs, playing well over nearly three quarters of the game. Mettenberger looked like a seasoned vet once he came into the game for the injured Charlie Whitehurst in the second quarter. After what I've seen, there is no reason why Mettenberger shouldn't win the number two job in Tennessee.

3. New England Patriots Backup Quarterbacks
  While many people were questioning Ryan Mallet after his poor performance in the Pats first pre season game he came back strong in their second game. Meanwhile Jimmy Garappolo carried the momentum from his first game into this one. While Mallet has had buzz around him for awhile, Garoppolo has looked great, especially considering he is a rookie. If the Patriots are smart they should trade Mallet first chance they get and roll with Garoppolo as Tom Brady's backup.

4. Jacksonville Jaguar Quarterbacks
  Both Chad Henne and Blake Bortles have looked solid so far this preseason, neither of them are the flashiest Quarterback in the league, but they can get the job done. They both have shown good decision making, good accuracy, and pocket awareness. Despite what a lot of people are saying, I'd still start Chad Henne at the beginning of the year. This is because there hasn't been much separation between the two so far and Henne has the benefit of experience. The determining factor in this Quarterback battle will be seeing how Bortles handles playing with the first team this week against the Lions.

5. New Orleans Saints Tight Ends
 Everyone expected Jimmy Graham to look impressive as a receiver, but I didn't expect to see him developed as a blocker. He made some really good blocks in the run game against the Rams, springing Mark Ingram for a couple of big runs. Jimmy Graham isn't the only Saints Tight End to look impressive so far however, Josh Hill has also shown off his skills as a receiver. Through two games Josh Hill has made 4 catches for 80 yards, showing off great athletic ability on a 46 yard catch against the Rams. Josh Hill has speed and size comparable to Jimmy Graham, and can make plays everytime he touches the ball. I would not be surprised to see Josh Hill pass up Benjamin Watson as the Saints second Tight End.

Saturday, August 2, 2014

Brandin Cooks

I'll admit it, Much like Kenny Vaccaro last year, I had no clue as to who the guy the New Orleans Saints took in the first round of the draft was. In all of my pre draft analysis this year I never saw or heard much about Brandin Cooks. It turned out, that much like with Vaccaro, I was one of the only people who had not heard of him. This was obviously because of his very promising college career and strong showing at the combine. He ran the second fastest 40 Time at the combine and in college showed time and again his ability to make a guy miss in space. Still, even with so much going for him, a lot of the "experts" said the Saints still took him much earlier than he should have been.

Nonetheless, thus far in training camp Brandin Cooks has shown the kind of potential that made him a first round pick. He has been the star of Saints camp, showing everything the Saints hoped to see and more. On top of his speed, hands, and ability to learn quickly Cooks has also shown surprising jumping ability for a 5'10'' Wide Receiver. In a play earlier this week Cooks out jumped a cornerback and managed to come down with the ball, quite a feat considering his height was one of the biggest concerns with him.

Cooks is a very versatile player that I can see being moved around the field, causing many matchup problems for the defense. He can play like a Lance Moore or Wes Welker in the slot, causing issues for slower Safeties and Nickel Corners. Or Cooks can play like Darren Sproles and line up as a Wing or in the Backfield, putting immense pressure on Linebackers or Strong Safeties trying to cover him. Or he can play on the outside to try and stretch Zone coverage and take the top off of the defense. Cooks is the kind of player who can make plays both as a receiver and as a runner on sweeps and check down passes. He is a very unique player who shows the speed, versatility, and athleticism to make plays whenever he has the ball, adding a dynamic element to the Saints already potent offense and making them even more of a nightmare for defenses to face this year.
 

Thursday, June 19, 2014

AFC South Quarterbacks

 When I read that Bill O'Brien had named Ryan Fitzpatrick the starting quarterback for the Texans I couldn't help but have a smile on my face. Fitz has always been one of my favorite quarterbacks, one of those throwback gunslinger types. The only problem I ever saw with Fitz was his tendency to sometimes make bad decisions at inopportune moments, when he was in Buffalo. Fitz actually reminds of Tony Romo a lot. Both in his ability to make plays with his mobility and strong arm, but also to ultimately make the fatal mistakes that lose games. If Bill O'Brien is praising Fitz for his accuracy and naming him as the starter then he must believe in him, and I for one am willing to defer to the noted "QB" guru on this one. Hopefully O'Brien can do the same thing for Fitz that Jim Harbaugh did for Alex Smith, and turn him into a star QB.

 Moving on to the Jaguars we have a very interesting situation with a 3rd overall pick who is apparently not going to start. With Gus Bradley going out of his way to state that Chad Henne will be the starter at least at the beginning of the season, the Jags have a very old school dynamic going on. Think about it, when was the last time you heard about a high pick rookie QB having to come in and earn his job? I love the way Gus is handling this situation, much like every situation since coming to Jacksonville. In an ideal world Chad Henne will play well enough for the defense and Toby Gerhart to carry the team to a decent record (4-4 or 5-3) and then be able to turn the reins over to Blake Bortles and keep the ball rolling all the way into the playoffs.

 Jake Locker, that is all. At this point what else needs to be said? You probably either think the kid is the savior of the Titans or another draft dud. Locker has the same kind of opinions about him that Ryan Tannehill has in Miami. I tend to be in the second camp, I really don't see much with Locker, he seems like an athlete with a good arm but I haven't seen him really do anything spectacular. If he had a proven QB guru coaching him I think he could be great, but he seems really raw to me and I'm not sure if Tennessee is the right spot for him.

 Alright, so I'll admit it, I was wrong. When Luck and RGIII came into the draft I was the biggest RGIII supporter and was sure he'd be better than Luck. And while I have a lot of confidence in RGIII and the Redskins new coaching staff, I have a very bold (perhaps foolish) prediction for Andrew Luck. Next season, Andrew Luck will be the best QB in the NFL. I think he will be in the top three in yards and TDs, and be either first or second in QBR. Whether he wins MVP or not I don't know, but he will be recognized by the media as one of the top QBs in the game with similar reverence as Aaron Rodgers. Luck's ability as a passer and a leader is well known and right up there with the Brady, Manning, and Brees' of the league, but perhaps the thing that sets him apart is his athletic ability. Depsite being the "pro-style" QB in the draft, Luck had the same 40 time as Cam Newton and has shown the ability and willingness to run with the ball when necessary

(Case in point, his Tim Tebow/Brett Favre impersonation from the playoff game against KC)
All in all the AFC South has some interesting QBs, from the superstars to the super raw. It will be fun to see how Blake Bortles and Jake Locker turn out, and Fitz will be very fascinating to watch. But, at the end of the day the Colts clearly have the best QB in the division, and are the team to beat in the AFC South. The real question is which one of the other three teams have the best shot to make the playoffs as a wild card team.
 
 
 
 
 


Wednesday, May 7, 2014

NFL Mock Draft 2014 Part 3 (Picks 22-32)

22: Philadelphia Eagles

Pick: Kelvin Benjamin/ WR/ Florida State

Analysis: The Eagles have a need at WR after releasing DeSean Jackson, however, the trade for Darren Sproles gives them a similar type of player allowing them to take a bigger possession receiver. Kelvin Benjamin gives them a large, almost TE sized receiver who will be a monster in the red zone, and make Philly that much more difficult to stop.

23. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Marquis Lee/ WR/ USC

Analysis: Lee gives Andy Reid a true number one receiver who can play opposite of Dwayne Bowe. With two solid receivers and an elite RB in the backfield the Chiefs will be the biggest thorn in the side of Denver next season.

24. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Bradley Robey/ CB/ Ohio State

Analysis: Robey is an intriguing physical specimen, who despite some injuries, has a high ceiling as an NFL CB. He can start out as a Nickel Corner and eventually should be able to ascend to a no.2 CB for the Bengals.

25. San Diego Chargers

Pick: Louis Nix/ NG/ Notre Dame

Analysis: Chargers add a true NG in the middle, who also has the upside of having been in charge of keeping Manti Te'o clean from being blocked at Notre Dame. The fit here is perfect, and improves the Chargers defense, especially against the run.

26. Cleveland Browns

Pick: Derek Carr/ QB/ Fresno State

Analysis: After missing out on Manziel the Browns take a QB who can come in and compete with Brian Hoyer for the starting job. Carr is a near perfect fit for Kyle Shanahan's offense, at least on paper. The only real weakness Carr has is on deep passes and his size. I look at Carr as a poor man's Andrew Luck or Drew Brees, especially with his gunslinger mentality.

27. New Orleans Saints

Pick: Keith McGull/ CB/ Utah

Analysis: The Saints have a penchant for having first round picks that are completely out of left field. After flirting with Brandon Browner and signing Jairus Byrd the Saints have all but announced they are trying to copy Seattle's blueprint for defense. McGull has raw first round talent but is unrefined. At 6'3'' he is a huge man with long arms and solid enough speed to play press man. Letting him cover the number 2 receiver while learning from Champ Bailey will allow him to develop fast.

28. Carolina Panthers

Pick: Brandin Cooks/ WR/ Oregon State

Analysis: Might as well call him Steve Smith without the crazy. Fast tenacious burner, gives Carolina someone to throw the ball to other than Greg Olsen.

29. New England Patriots

Pick: Austin Seferian-Jenkins/ TE/ Washington

Analysis: The Patriots need help on offense and they know it. Despite needs at WR the Pats should wait for the second round to address that need and take a TE who can complement (or replace) Rob Gronkowski. Hopefully this kid turns out better than Aaron Hernandez.

30. San Francisco 49ers

Pick: Timmy Jernigan/ DT/NG/ Florida State

Analysis: While I doubt they pick here (probably trading up for a Odell Beckham Jr. or some other speed receiver) Jernigan makes the most sense here as a talented lineman who could play either Nose or End for the 49ers, and is one of the most talented players available.

31. Denver Broncos

Pick: Joel Bitonio/ OT/OG / Nevada

Analysis: A versatile lineman who projects best as a LG. Plays with awareness and intensity and helps jumpstart Denver's run game.

32. Seattle Seahawks

Pick: Stanley Jean-Baptiste/ CB/ Nebraska

Analysis: Could be the love child of Brandon Browner and Richard Sherman. Has all of the size and raw ability the Seahawks looks for in a corner and could compete for the no.2 corner spot against Byron Maxwell immediately.

Tuesday, May 6, 2014

NFL Mock Draft 2014 Part 2 (Picks 11-21)

11. Tennessee Titans

Pick: Darqueze Dennard/ CB/ Michigan State

Analysis: This Tennessee's biggest need outside of QB and RB. I'd look for them to go with Dennard or Kyle Fuller in this spot, all comes down to whether they go with the bigger risk in Dennard or the safer pick in Fuller. Look for them to go after Jimmy Garropollo or Tre Mason in the second round to address their other needs.

12. New York Giants

Pick: Aaron Donald/ DT/ Pittsburgh

Analysis: This Donald kid is the perfect fit for the Giants. He is like Warren Sapp reincarnated, and is one of the best pass rushing 3-Techniques I've ever seen.

13. St. Louis Rams

Pick: Ha Ha Clinton Dix/ FS/ Alabama

Analysis: Having solidified their offensive line by taking Greg Robinson at no.2 the Rams can now turn to the defense and improve their struggling secondary by taking this SEC FS. Dix should be able to pick of many passes next year in this defense from the sheer amount of hurried throws Robert Quinn and Chris Long will force.

14. Chicago Bears

Pick: Ryan Shazier/ OLB/ Ohio State

Analysis: Despite the Bears secondary woes, I think the Bears address their issue at linebacker here. With the two best Cornerbacks off the board already they take a very underrated athletic linebacker with huge potential.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick: Kyle Fuller/ CB/ Virginia Tech

Analysis: Fuller just seems to be a perfect scheme fit for Pittsburgh. Could also be an OT or WR but they really need help in the secondary.

16. Dallas Cowboys

Pick: Anthony Barr/ DE/OLB / UCLA

Analysis: The Cowboys really like this kid, and Jerry will hope he is the next Demarcus Ware. Only time will tell if he can become a dominant DE as he is small and would be a better fit in a 34 or  Seattle and Jacksonville's "Leo" 43.

17. Baltimore Ravens

Pick: Calvin Pryor/ FS/ Louisville

Analysis: Baltimore needs help at safety, with this pick they can a really great pair of safeties with Pryor and Matt Elam. Pryor and Dix could be swapped depending on who the Rams take at 13.

18. New York Jets

Pick: Odell Beckham Jr./ WR/ LSU

Analysis: The Jets need a solid WR to play opposite of Eric Decker. Odell Beckham Jr. gives them a Desean Jackson type of receiver, who will help either Michael Vick or Geno Smith and should help the Jets continue to build in the right direction.

19. Miami Dolphins

Pick: Zack Martin/ OT/ Notre Dame

Analysis: Miami is in desperate need of an OT, Martin's ability as a run blocker makes him a natural RT. Also if he fails as a OT he has the potential to be moved to guard, making him a safer pick.

20. Arizona Cardinals

Pick: Cyrus Kouandjio/ OT/ Alabama

Analysis: An overhyped power RT prospect. His raw physical ability could make him a complete monster on the right side, but his lack of polish could eventually turn him into a bust. Gives Arizona one of the most solid lines in the NFL if he pans out. Look for them to go after a QB in the 2nd round.

21. Green Bay Packers

Pick: Stephon Tuitt/ DE/ Notre Dame

Analysis: I honestly think there is no way the Packers stay here, there is no top tier talent at there biggest positions of need. I'll guess Stephon Tuitt here as one of the best players available and the Packers need for help on the D-Line.

Monday, May 5, 2014

NFL Mock Draft 2014 Part 1 (picks 1-10)

1. Houston Texans

Pick: Jadeveon Clowney/ Defensive End/ South Carolina

Analysis: There seems to be an overall feeling that the Texans are going to go with Clowney here, and personally, I like the move. I would love to see what Bill O'Brien can do with Case Keenum. I also am really intrigued by the idea of Clowney and J.J. Watt on the same team, suddenly they cannot double team either of them. And just an aside here, but I would personally use Watt and Clowney on offense in goal line situations, put them as tight ends, they're both huge, and both have the physical ability to run a short route into the end zone and catch it over everyone else.

2. St. Louis Rams

Pick: Greg Robinson/ Offensive Tackle/ Auburn

Analysis: The Rams need an eventual replacement for Jake Long, who is coming off of ACL surgery and has a history of injuries. Now, with this class, I'd take a tackle to groom behind Jake in the second round and take Sammy Watkins here. But the feeling out there is that if the Rams do not trade back they will spend this pick of Robinson, who is an excellent run blocker with the athletic ability to develop into a true Left Tackle. Robinson could start on the right side of the line given his blocking ability and then be moved to the left once Jake Long is no longer a Ram, or no longer performing at a high level.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Johnny Manziel/ QB/ Texas A&M

Analysis: This is the perfect pick for the Jaguars in my opinion, allowing them to imitate Seattle even more. Manziel does two things for Jacksonville, it gives them a franchise QB in the vein of Russell Wilson and it gives people a reason to care about Jacksonville, the way that RGIII made people want to watch Washington on a national stage. Given Gus Bradley's rebuilt defense and strong offensive weapons, adding a franchise QB here just makes good sense. The only way I could see this changing is if Gus decides to go with a defensive playmaker in Khalil Mack.

4. Cleveland Browns

Pick: Sammy Watkins/ WR/ Clemson

Analysis: The idea of an offense having Sammy Watkins, Josh Gordon, and Jordan Cameron is just downright scary. If Brian Hoyer can pick up where he left off Cleveland could be a surprise playoff contender (a surprise to only people not living in the state of Ohio more than likely).

5. Oakland Raiders

Pick: Khalil Mack/ LB/DE / Buffalo

Analysis: Oakland is available to take the best player here, and is able to add an extremely versatile player to their retooled defense. Rather they want him to play DE or LB he can play anywhere. Mack has shown the ability to be a truly dominating pass rusher. He aslo has the speed and coverage ability to be a Von Miller/Mathias Kiwanuka type of OLB. Adding Mack to Oakland's defense could make the black hole, once again, a scary place to play.

6. Atlanta Falcons

Pick: Jake Matthews/ OL/ Texas A&M

Analysis: The Falcons desperately need help on the offensive line. Jake gives them not only a great O-Lineman but also a versatile one. Matthews has played in different spots along the line, including having extensive knowledge at Center. This combined with his status as being part of the "Mannings of the Line" family and his film junkie tendencies make him precisely the player that Falcons need.

7. Tam Bay Buccaneers

Pick: Mike Evans/ WR/ Texas A&M

Analysis: After trading Mike Williams the Bucs only solid receiver is Vincent Jackson. Adding Mike Evans gives them a guy who is like Hines Ward mixed with Plaxico Burress with a little Antonio Gates thrown in. He has the ability to be an effective blocker, always a plus as a receiver, especially on a team where Doug Martin is likely to be a huge part of the offense. His raw size and instincts on how to get open make him a lethal red zone target and will make him a very effective target on 3rd downs. The only real issue with him is he sometimes loses his temper and makes a boneheaded move, but you have to love the kids heart.

8. Minnesota Vikings

Pick: CJ Mosley/ ILB/ Alabama

Analysis: Despite all the talk of a QB here, the Vikings have two solid game mangers in Christian Ponder and Matt Cassell already on the roster. Mike Zimmer goes with a defender forged in the fires of the SEC over a project QB like Bortles.

9. Buffalo Bills

Pick: Eric Ebron/ TE/ North Carolina

Analysis: This pick gives EJ Manuel a solid security blanket to throw to, and gives them a strong TE tandem with Scott Chandler. Along with the dynamic duo in the backfield, and Stevie Johnson at WR the Bills are looking to have a potent offense this year if Manuel can stay healthy.

10. Detroit Lions

Pick: Justin Gilbert/ CB/ Oklahoma State

Analysis: Detroit desperately needs a number one CB and Gilbert is the best cover corner in the draft. His only real weakness is in run support, but as a coverage guy, no one is better in this draft.


Thursday, March 27, 2014

Johnny Manziel

  As I watch film from "Johnny Football" at his pro day, I can't help but be amazed. He trots onto the field in shoulder pads and a helmet, already setting a different tone for his pro day. He shows his huge arm and accuracy early, and as he goes on, his mechanics look very crisp. Even his interview is impressive, as he says some of the common sense things that sports analysts try to make sound like hidden Illuminati texts. I'm truly impressed by this little dude in camo shorts, and now more than ever think that Houston should take him number one overall.
  First of all, the helmet and shoulder pads are a purely genius idea. I think all NFL prospects should take a queue from Johnny and show up in their gameday armor. Analysts are constantly saying football isn't played in shorts, and that's why Manziel wearing his pads and helmet is the perfect PR scheme. Johnny even says in his interview following the pro day that "I've never seen an NFL QB trot onto the field wearing shorts and a T-shirt."
 Watching his mechanics, they have improved greatly and should get Ron Jaworski off of his back, and to quit saying that he should be a 4th round pick. Despite Mr. Jaworski's constant labelling of Johnny's "bad" technique, the plays he chooses to highlight on ESPN's NFL Live have Johnny putting the ball where it needed to be. On the first play Johnny makes a good deep throw, and the receiver loses track of the ball, resulting in an incompletion. The second play, a defensive back simply makes a great play to knock the ball away.
  Now there are two areas where I will give Jaworski and the ESPN analysts credit, the first is durability concerns. Johnny is very undersized for the position and likes to operate in the open a lot. If Johnny is going to make it in the NFL he will have to learn to play like fellow short stack Russell Wilson. Wilson doesn't have many designed running plays, and knows how to get down and save himself when possible. If Johnny can learn when to slide, and when to duck out of bounds, he will have an opportunity to have a very long and successful career. Johnny himself acknowledged this in a post pro day interview, even directly saying that Russell Wilson is the kind of guy he has to play like to stay healthy. The second issue is Johnny passing up open receivers and struggling within the structure of an offense. Despite his amazing playmaking ability, Johnny can sometimes pass up open receivers to try and make a big play instead of taking what the defense gives him. This could lead to Johnny having some struggles early on if he does not adjust to this.
  Aside from durability concerns, Manziel has the ability and intangibles to be an all time great Quarterback. Manziel has the arm strength to make all the throws in the NFL, even from awkward angles outside of the pocket. Johnny has the competitive fire and the desire to be great, and inspires others to follow him on the football field. He has the mobility to get out of trouble, extend plays, and make huge plays out of potential losses. His best attribute is his quickness and acceleration, as well as his ability to see the entire field as a runner. I look at him as a combination of Fran Tarkenton, Brett Favre, and Ken Stabler. He has the gunslinger mentality of Brett Favre, never being afraid to make any throw or attempt any play. Johnny has the improvisational skills of both Favre and Tarkenton, being able to make something out of nothing while throwing off of his back foot and fighting off a 300 lbs Nose Guard. He also has the swagger and confidence as only Ken Stabler has previously shown in the NFL.
  I would love to see Johnny go to the Jaguars at 3 and give them something to be excited about in Jacksonville. My ideal draft scenario would be for Houston to take either Bortles or Jadeveon Clowney, Cleveland to take Jake Matthews and give Brian Hoyer the chance to start, and for Manziel to land in Jacksonville. This would give Gus Bradley similar offensive pieces to what he had in Seattle, to go along with his rebuilt defense. Ultimately, I believe Manziel should be the number one overall pick, but I hope he falls to Jacksonville.

Friday, March 21, 2014

On John Idzik and The Jets Playoff Hopes

We all heard the talk prior to last season about Rex Ryan being a lame duck coach with, what many considered, the most dysfunctional and undisciplined team in the NFL. Despite all of this talk, the Jets still won 8 games last year. They were able to win largely because of the strength of Sexy Rexy's defense.  The fact is that no matter what pieces he has on defense, Rex's defensive players always give 110% for him because he is just the kind of coach that gets that extra 10% out of his players. The biggest weakness for the Jets is their offense, it has been ever since Mark Sanchez inexplicably turned into a turnover machine in his third year. Jets GM John Idzik's "controversial" idea to not try and win the NFL's version of March Madness will only help the Jets in the long run. The methodical approach Idzik has taken to free agency also gives the Jets a very good chance to have short term success as well. Idzik's moves put them in position to win 10 games this year, and possibly even compete for a wild card berth. With the late breaking news of Michael Vick's decision to sign with the Jets, it's suddenly very believable that the Jets could be a 10 win team. Even if Vick misses half the season he should still be good for at least 4 wins by himself; throw in the Jets' defense and the they don't look half bad as a dark horse candidate for the playoffs. Reports are the Jets are not done with big moves on offense, with a lot of people believing they will end up being the landing spot for Desean Jackson. Desean Jackson would give Vick a receiver he is familiar throwing to, and give the Jets a strong compliment to Eric Decker and Stephen Hill. Vick and Desean also both have experience in Marty Monhinweg's offense, and with two very underrated receivers in Stephen Hill and Eric Decker this group could be very hard to defend. Don't sleep on the Jets Tight End Jeff Cumberland either, he has shown flashes of great potential when healthy. Even without Desean Jackson the Jets have enough firepower in the passing game to keep defenses honest while pounding them into the dirt with Bilal Powell and Chris Ivory. I honestly believe the Jets are making the kind of moves to put them in direct competition with the Patriots, and right now they are leaps and bounds ahead of the Bills and Dolphins in the AFC East. The big concern on defense is their lack of big name corners, but I really don't see that as a problem. They have Dee Milliner, who has all of the talent to succeed and a year of NFL experience under his belt, and as I said I trust Rex to get every ounce of production possible out his defense; that goes double for his defensive backs. Going forward, the Jets are my dark horse playoff pick for this upcoming season, and I cannot wait to see what Idzik does in the draft this year.

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Free Agency Week 1

One week into Free Agency there have been many big moves, both by contenders and by teams trying to become contenders. One of the trends I noticed was the sheer amount of small moves teams were making from the start. Every year teams seem to get more savvy, going after unheralded role players, rather than the big name free agents who are looking for their retirement fund. Some teams have fully rebuilt aspects of their team (such as Oakland) while others have added one or two key pieces in the hopes of dethroning the Seahawks (such as Denver).

Here are what I consider the three best moves made in week 1 of free agency.
New Orleans Free Safety Shuffle
      Somehow, despite having no cap room to speak of, having to cut many veterans, and having a Tight End looking for a big pay day, the Saints were able to sign one of the best free agents on the market. The Saints were able to sign Free Safety Jarius Byrd from Buffalo on the first day of free agency; this was clearly their plan all along as they allowed Malcolm Jenkins to walk and sign with the Eagles without so much as offering him lip service, much less a contract. Adding Byrd will give Rob Ryan the freedom to let Kenny Vaccaro run wild even more on defense, while using Byrd as a deep safety in the middle of the field. Byrd's propensity for creating turnovers will go a long way towards helping the Saints improve upon their 19 takeaways from a year ago. (16th in the NFL).

Denver goes "All In"
      Ever since the Fax fiasco of last year, the Broncos have been looking for a way to replace Elvis Dumervil. Despite Shawn Phillips having a good year, he was not quite the dynamic playmaker they were looking for. Phillips' free agency combined with Von Miller having a lackluster performance of only 5 sack s during an injury plagued year, lead the Broncos into the move of improving their pass rush. Luckily for them Jerry Jones decided to actually try and manage the cap this year, unfortunately for Cowboys fans Jerry's idea of cap management was cutting DeMarcus Ware. However the Cowboys loss was the Broncos gain, delivering them an excellent Defensive End in the form of the 10 year vet from Troy. The Broncos also signed TJ Ward on day 1 of free agency. TJ is an unheralded Strong Safety who has spent his first 4 years in exile in Cleveland. Despite his relative anonymity Ward is a huge improvement to the Broncos secondary, and I predict he will be a household name by this time next year. The Broncos then made the move that kicked off an arms race with the Patriots. This move of course was the signing of free agent Cornerback Aqib Talib. Aqib Talib gives them a shut down corner to replace Dominique Rodgers Cromartie who is likely to be lost in free agency. The Talib signing also helps them by stealing an excellent player away from the Patriots.

Arms Race
      After losing Aqib Talib to Denver, the Patriots made a big splash of their own by signing Darrelle Revis after he was cut by the Buccaneers for cap reasons. This is an overall upgrade for the Patriots, as Darrelle Revis is still one of the best Corner's in the NFL. They weren't done yet however, in a move that I can only take as a move to keep up with Denver, the Patriots also signed former Seattle Seahawks pothead/ Cornerback Brandon Browner, who if he can stay off the weed, is one of the best Corners in the NFL. He will have to miss the first 4 games of next season, but with talent like his, he is well worth the risk. The only problem I have with either of these signings is that Revis can walk after this season, as he was only signed to a 1 year deal.

Honorable Mentions

Oakland helped to solidify their defense by signing LaMarr Woodley and Justin Tuck to add some extra oomph to their 18th ranked pass rush (44 sacks). They also were able to re-sign Darren McFadden to a one year deal, putting him in a boom or bust contract year. I believe they should add another Running Back to their roster as insurance should McFadden get injured and have to miss any time.

The New York Jets added Eric Decker, giving them the closest thing they've had in a while to a number 1 wide receiver. There are also reports that Maurice Jones-Drew and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Aside from the revenue boost the company that sells Nike the letters for their jerseys will get, both of these would be very good moves by Gang Green. The three headed monster of MJD, Bilal Bowell, and Chris Ivory could be a truly formidable force behind Nick Mangold and D'Brickashaw Ferguson's blocking. An improved run game would also give Geno Smith his best shot to develop as a pro Quarterback. DRC is merely a replacement for Antonio Cromartie, and as replacements go is a pretty good one. I don't consider DRC to be an upgrade or step back of any notable amount and should be able to lock down an opponents number 1 Wide Receiver just as well as Cromartie could.

Finally the Jacksonville Jaguars have added the 2012 Seahawks Defensive End tandem of Chris Clemons and Red Bryant. These two are clear improvements over Jason Babin and Tyson Alualu and are perfect fits for Gus Bradley's defense. As Bradley coached both of them just 1 season ago, they will come in on even footing with Jaguars players who will be in their second year under Bradley. The Jaguars also added Toby Gerhart from the Vikings, giving them a young running back with a lot of potential and very little tread off the tires. Gerhart should be able to replace Maurice Jones-Drew as the Jaguars new feature back.